Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-02-01 412.960475 468.328631 529.481249 602.221169 686.628838 781.777514 897.557490
2026-02-08 327.561889 399.944546 486.951660 600.006276 744.130211 923.194343 1164.810634
2026-02-15 278.295450 356.667446 456.309778 593.746309 780.672387 1029.343691 1390.762044
2026-02-22 247.382227 329.683132 439.195825 597.855215 825.634744 1146.732455 1644.319338
2026-03-01 219.455948 302.037275 416.149824 588.428416 847.372176 1231.045202 1859.826936
2026-03-08 198.626209 281.240560 399.280685 584.183244 873.873429 1323.109889 2098.554841
2026-03-15 176.759237 256.328261 373.275941 562.318034 869.255838 1364.464173 2259.201344
2026-03-22 168.266959 250.158467 374.129765 581.279352 930.631003 1518.756217 2635.451581
2026-03-29 161.796365 246.249910 377.730017 604.494452 1001.176211 1697.203851 3085.033371
2026-04-05 151.527379 235.297957 368.889297 605.696090 1033.380076 1811.660739 3432.613180
2026-04-12 139.827940 220.960905 353.093997 593.030122 1038.793098 1876.813358 3692.190063
2026-04-19 129.748015 208.426642 339.124352 581.936517 1045.372056 1944.298269 3967.345328
2026-04-26 124.770831 204.245574 339.310460 596.966562 1104.454248 2125.724514 4530.747854
2026-05-03 117.469538 195.488332 330.756637 594.899150 1129.916332 2242.675025 4973.024369
2026-05-10 110.290893 186.344954 320.661785 588.692636 1145.947406 2341.468857 5391.644685
2026-05-17 105.229460 180.560693 316.132930 592.761968 1183.633628 2492.907835 5973.345792
2026-05-24 98.848377 171.885226 305.488186 583.426904 1191.276152 2577.042180 6397.794953
2026-05-31 93.666442 165.044126 297.749565 579.222988 1209.606289 2688.791101 6922.287056
2026-06-07 86.844342 154.654812 282.383371 557.569576 1185.863505 2695.243863 7149.950997
2026-06-14 85.156852 153.916695 285.824970 576.347291 1258.017276 2951.520078 8175.696157
2026-06-21 83.971880 154.047624 290.974110 599.336426 1343.233455 3256.003781 9433.371073
2026-06-28 80.612794 149.658200 286.579760 600.526333 1375.177793 3423.916224 10296.112171
2026-07-05 76.164045 142.803960 276.588882 587.983843 1371.022305 3491.756847 10838.860576